Breaking down the 2025 UTSA football schedule: Predictions, key games and season outlook

UTSA’s Houston Thomas runs with the football in a game against Florida Atlantic in the 2024 season at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.. (Photo courtesy of UTSA athletics)

By Michael Adams
Austin Sports Journal

The 2025 season brings new challenges for the UTSA Roadrunners as they look to build on their growing reputation in the American Athletic Conference. From a marquee opener at Texas A&M to a late-season clash with Army, head coach Jeff Traylor’s squad faces a balanced slate that could swing anywhere from a conference title run to a rebuilding year.

ere’s a game-by-game breakdown with predictions, key matchups and what it all means for UTSA.

2025 schedule and predictions

Aug. 30 – at No. 19 Texas A&M: The Roadrunners open the season in College Station against a ranked SEC opponent. It’s a tall task, but a competitive showing would make a statement. Prediction: Loss, but UTSA hangs around

Sept. 6 – vs Texas State: The I-35 Rivalry returns, and the Alamodome should be electric. Texas State has been improving under G.J. Kinne, but UTSA’s experience and home-field advantage should carry the day. Prediction: Win

Sept. 13 – vs Incarnate Word: A crosstown matchup that’s more about bragging rights than danger. Expect UTSA to dominate. Prediction: Win

Sept. 20 – at Colorado State: A tricky road trip to Fort Collins looms before conference play. CSU is physical and dangerous at home, making this a toss-up. Prediction: Win

Oct. 4 – at Temple: Conference play opens in Philadelphia. Temple has struggled in recent years, but road openers in league play are never simple. Prediction: Win

Oct. 11 – vs Rice: The Bayou Bucket rivals square off again. UTSA should be able to take care of business at home. Prediction: Win

Oct. 18 – at North Texas: The Mean Green always make this an emotional battle. In Denton, this one could swing either way. Prediction: Loss

Oct. 30 – vs Tulane: A Thursday night showcase against one of the AAC’s top programs. Tulane’s balance and depth make this UTSA’s toughest home game of the year. Prediction: Loss

Nov. 6 – at South Florida: USF has reloaded and looks like a program on the rise. On the road, this is a tough draw, but UTSA has enough firepower to pick up the win. Prediction: Win

Nov. 15 – at Charlotte: This one sets up well for UTSA to bounce back. Charlotte is rebuilding, and the Roadrunners should control the game. Prediction: Win

Nov. 22 – vs East Carolina: Back in the Alamodome, UTSA should out score ECU in what could turn into a track meet. Prediction: Win

Nov. 28/29 – vs Army: A late-season clash with the disciplined Black Knights. Army’s unique style makes this one dangerous. Prediction: Loss

Regular season record: 8-4

Best/worst case scenarios

Best-case (10-2)

If UTSA upsets Colorado State or Army, splits with Tulane and USF, and defends its home turf, a 10–2 season and a trip to the AAC Championship is on the table.

Worst-case (5-7)

If injuries hit and the Roadrunners stumble in close games, especially at North Texas and Colorado State, a 5-7 finish isn’t out of the question. That would leave UTSA outside the bowl picture.

Key matchups

Upset alert: Sept. 20 at Colorado State

The trip to Fort Collins comes right before AAC play begins, making this a tricky spot. Colorado State is physical at the line of scrimmage and plays well at home. If UTSA isn’t sharp, this could turn into an unexpected setback that dampens momentum heading into October.

Biggest chance at an upset: Aug. 30 at Texas A&M

The season opener at Kyle Field is a daunting task, but it also presents the biggest opportunity for a statement win. Texas A&M will be ranked and heavily favored, yet UTSA’s veteran roster and experience in big games could make it interesting. A Roadrunners’ upset here would vault them into the national conversation immediately.

Danger game: Oct. 30 vs Tulane

Tulane is one of the AAC’s most consistent programs and comes to the Alamodome for a Thursday night showdown. With national TV eyes on the game and UTSA facing pressure to hold serve at home, this matchup looms large. Tulane’s balance on both sides of the ball makes this the toughest conference test on the schedule.